Story Brief

Taiwan University, Joshua Oon Soo Goh; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Yuhui Chai, Bradley Sutton. Imagine that a notification on your financial app captures your attention about a stock projected to have a 68% chance of doubling your investment within a month, with a 32% chance of total loss. Would you commit a $50,000 stake? Would your decision change if the odds of gain rose to 99-to-1, or if the stake dropped to $1,000?

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