Roughly one-fifth of global LNG flows has been impacted by the Hormuz crisis. The cumulative losses in crude oil supply have topped 1 billion barrels since the start of March. Governments are rationing fuel and advising conservation. Some are already predicting a complete transformation of global energy consumption patterns. But these predictions are a bit premature. Earlier this month, the International Energy Agency warned in its monthly oil report that the world’s oil supply this year will be 3.9 million barrels daily lower than it was…

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