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Electricity generation from solar could exceed coal in ERCOT for the first time in 2026
In our most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), we forecast that annual electric power generation from utility-scale solar will surpass that from coal for the first time in 2026 within the electricity grid that covers most of Texas.
AI Summary
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s Short‑Term Energy Outlook projects that in 2026, utility‑scale solar will generate more electricity than coal in the Texas grid. Solar output is expected to reach 78 billion kilowatt‑hours in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) system, while coal generation is projected at 60 billion kilowatt‑hours. This marks the first time solar is forecast to exceed coal in that region.
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