AI Summary

Benjamin Netanyahu is set to stay prime minister for at least several weeks following Israel’s election, keeping the prospect of a new U.S.–Israeli war with Iran high. The Trump administration has reportedly told allies to anticipate a military campaign after the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 3, aiming either to force Iran back to negotiations or to topple its regime. Analysts argue that such a conflict would likely fail to meet even minimal U.S. and Israeli objectives, as the United States is already entrenched in a protracted war environment where decisive victory is unlikely. In that context, Iran historically benefits, with U.S. blockades and intermittent violence reinforcing regime control and empowering hard‑liners rather than weakening the government.

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